Prediction Time! Carl Froch vs Mikkel Kessler
By: The Mad Boxing Genius
On paper, this fight should be entertaining. You have everything you would want; speed, power, skills and two competitive spirits. There is however one more thing…desperation! This is the second stage of Showtime’s Super Six tournament. Because of Mikkel Kessler’s lost to Andre Ward in the first stage, he faces elimination this Saturday night against “The Cobra”.
Carl Froch’s Keys To Victory
Carl Froch for being such a fundamentally flawed fighter has effective tools when he tries.
What he needs to do in order to win is take advantage of Mikkel’s basic style. He’s a methodical boxer/puncher not a slickster which causes problems for Froch. When he uses his jab he connects. If he doubles it up he can set up a right hand which can land with power. He’ll also have an uppercut if he can discipline himself enough to throw it within range. If he can keep his punches straight and fire often all from the get-go, he can disrupt Kessler’s rhythm. As we all know, when Mikkel Kessler loses his momentum, he’ not likely to get it back.
Mikkel Kessler’s Keys To Victory
“The Viking Warrior” needs to be the counter puncher in this fight. He can take advantage of Froch’s winging shots and nail him with right hands (which Froch is very susceptible to) all night long. He’s got to be careful however not to over extend those right hand punches. You’ll notice that Froch can pivot and counter over extended shots with hooks. He could counter Kessler with a power punch he doesn’t see coming.
I don’t believe that Mikkel Kessler is the same fighter mentally. He’s changed trainers and reportedly had a great training camp which show’s that he’s not just going to give up but it is what it is. Pre Joe Calzaghe, I would say that Kessler’s offensive and defensive skills were too much for The Cobra and would knock him out before the 10th round. Now I say he has just enough to pull out a close decision.
As exciting as Carl Froch is, he’s on borrowed time. A man can only be so luck for so long. With Jermain Taylor, it was only a matter of time before fatigue set in and got caught. With Andre Dirrell, although I had scored it in Froch’s favour, it was extremely close. Had that fight taken place in the States, the decision could have easily gone the other way.
As Froch steps up in competition he’s not going all out right from the get go which he needs to do against Kessler. He’s taking his time now and settles in. This will give Kessler the opportunity to read him and decide how he’ll take care of business. Froch will come on as he always does but it’ll be too little, too late. Mikkel Kessler gets the nod in Denmark.
Prediction Time! Cris Arreola vs Tomasz Adamek
Stylistically, this fight should be a good follow-up to the Alfred Angulo/Joel Julio undercard bout. The big questions here are…
Is Tomasz Adamek a full-fledged heavyweight at this point or is he just a blown up cruiserweight?
Has Cris Arreola learned from the Vitali Klitschko fight and be able to make the technical adjustments?
Tomasz Adamek’s Keys To Victory
As much as Tomasz likes to be a pleasing fighter, he would be insane to go to war with the bigger and stronger man. Cris also isn’t just a football player who decided to lace up the gloves for the first time at age 20! He’s got a legitimate amateur pedigree and is a big physical specimen with skills.
I would advise Tomasz to get inside and smother Arreola. There are two ways of making sure a puncher doesn’t tag you. One way is to stay away. The other way is to get in real close and tight. He doesn’t have the ability to do what Vitali was able to do against Cris which is keep him at bay with strong punches and physical strength. Cris can also get wide with his shots. If Tomasz can get in, pound the body and smother him, Arreola won’t have the room to get his punches off.
Cris Arreola’s Keys To Victory
Cris said that he wanted to use his jab effectively in this fight. Weighing in at 250 ½ pounds instead of the dreadful 260 plus against Brian Minto, he’ seems to be taking this fight seriously. Being the bigger man, he should use his jab to keep his man from coming in and tag him with right hands. If Adamek attempts to get in, Cris can pick him off with uppercuts and follow-up left hooks.
Although Adamek has more experience in quality opponents, Cris has more experience at being a heavyweight. He knows very well how to fight big and how to fight smaller men. I see Cris using his jabs and hurting Adamek a few times throughout. I do feel that Adamek has enough experience and technical defensive skills to go the distance.
Prediction Time! Alfred Angulo vs Joel Julio (HBO Undercard)
This fight is simply going to be fun!
I honestly could care less about who wins because this is the type of fight that makes new boxing fans. However, unless it goes to a draw, there will be a winner and a loser. So, let’s get to it!
Alfred Angulo’s Keys To Victory
What Alfred Angulo does best is go forward and throw intense, accurate punches. Whether he wins by a knockout or a decision, volume is the key. When Joel Julio fought James Kirkland, he showed toughness but also showed he can be physically broken down under pressure. Whether he was undertrained or just not mentally prepared, it happened once and it can happen again with “Perro”.
Alfred does not put on the kind of whirlwind pressure that James Kirkland does but his kind of pressure is effective nonetheless. He’ll have to find his rhythm early and unload punches in bunches round after round.
Joel Julio Keys To Victory
You can bet your bottom dollar that the Julio camp studied the fight between Alfred Angulo and Kermit Cintron. Yes, Angulo was sick but the blue print to beat him isn’t rocket science, it just so happens that Kermit was the first one to implement it properly.
Joel Julio will have to fight the way Evander Holyfield did against Mike Tyson in their first go around which is box when he needs to box, fight when he needs to fight and tie up when he needs to tie up. This Angulo won’t be sick and will be at 100%. Even if Julio can apply the stick and move strategy successfully, you better believe it’ll be a lot more difficult for him than it was for Cintron.
One major key to victory, especially if he decides to stick and move, is to set his feet when he unloads those hellacious power shots and do it in combination. He buzzed James Kirkland a few times and if his feet were just a little more sturdy and had some follow-up punches, it is very possible that Kirkland would have a loss on his record today.
If you believe the reports coming out of the Julio camp, and I for one do (albeit hesitantly), then it looks like that Joel will take this one. I think Joel Julio will stick and move and has more than enough power to keep Angulo respectful. If he does what he did in the Kirkland fight but with a few technical adjustments, he wins comfortably. My guess however, is that he’ll do what he has to do but tire out late and just hang on to get the decision.
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